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Critical Minerals: Strategic Materials in a Changing Geopolitical Landscape

Last updated on May 5, 2025

The Role and Uses of Rare Earth Minerals

Rare earth minerals, despite their name, are relatively abundant in the Earth’s crust but are rarely found in economically viable concentrations. They consist of 17 elements, including neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium, and terbium. These elements are essential to the manufacture of permanent magnets used in wind turbines, electric vehicle motors, and consumer electronics. Other uses include catalysts in oil refining, phosphors in lighting and displays, and components in military systems such as guidance systems and communication devices.

Global Production and Market Trends

China has long dominated the production and processing of rare earth elements, controlling over 60% of global supply. Other notable producers include the United States, Australia, and Myanmar. In recent years, geopolitical tensions and supply chain concerns have reshaped the market. China’s export quotas and temporary embargoes in the early 2010s led to price spikes and spurred efforts by other countries to diversify supply sources. The U.S. has since reopened rare earth mining at Mountain Pass in California and formed strategic partnerships to reduce dependence.

Recent Developments and International Agreements

China has tightened export controls on rare earth technologies, citing national security concerns. Myanmar, a significant supplier of heavy rare earths, has seen output disrupted by conflict and internal regulation. Ukraine, a potential supplier with significant deposits, faces uncertainty due to ongoing war. The United States has enacted the Inflation Reduction Act and signed bilateral agreements with allies such as Canada, Australia, and the EU to secure alternative supply chains and encourage domestic refining and recycling initiatives.

Complexities and Future Outlook

The critical minerals challenge is shaped by multiple overlapping factors: geopolitical competition, environmental concerns, economic volatility, and technological change. Environmental regulations make new mining projects slow to develop. At the same time, demand is increasing due to the global transition to clean energy. Future scenarios include greater recycling and circular economy integration, diversification of suppliers, and strategic stockpiling. However, the path forward will depend heavily on international cooperation and the balancing of strategic and environmental objectives.

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